Review:
Alongside the reports from the IPCC there is a range of material
that follows a similar path which aids our understanding. This
book started out as a report of a meeting on modeling and climate
change. Its 33 contributions cover much the same ground as the
main IPCC Working Groups - namely physical-biological interactions,
impacts and mitigation. A fourth area looks at policy-making.
We
start with an exploration of the latest ideas in the operation
of global warming. Notable in the last few years, environmental
analysis has yielded several insights into the finer detail
of climate change mechanisms. Three themes seem to stand out.
Firstly, there is the role of pollution. Initially seen as a
radiation reducer (under the old idea of global cooling) it's
now seen as a vital part of the equation and even as a solution.
A second theme examines a range of issues associated with the
carbon cycle. If the former idea studies input then this one
studies output and throughput i.e. sinks and sources. If there's
one clear message it is that the situation is far more complex
than we might have thought. The third theme is the cross-disciplinary
idea of uncertainty. The problem here is that the media and
scientists have different definitions and so it's crucial to
understand exactly what we mean by the term. If this part creates
a better and more accurate understanding of warming processes
then the second part uses this information to study the effects
of global warming. Again, three main focus areas can be seen
running through the papers. The first is the nature of assessments
and how these can be made more accurate and responsive. Secondly
we have sector studies such as tourism and finally areas studies
e.g. Africa. This is the smallest section but the diversity
of contributions shows there is still a great deal of debate
going on. Mitigation is the focus of the third part. Most of
the work here examines the options that we have available to
us and the impact they might have in reducing global warming.
Studies look at areas as diverse as forestry, hydrogen fuel
and agriculture. There's also work on costs and mitigation politics.
The fourth part covers mitigation policy, an area less well
covered in IPCC work. The key word is uncertainty. We know global
warming will probably happen and that it might take so many
years to develop (or maybe not) and herein lies the issue. How
can we adjust to this and price it? These are not simple issues
especially as it is becoming such 'high-stakes' work.
Overall,
the book seeks to shed light in darker and more complex areas
of global warming theory. It is not a book for the uninitiated:
the level of detail is considerable and the need for prior knowledge
is obvious. Having said that it does provide the reader with
a very detailed examination of the arguments that are current.
It allows ideas to be tried and new thoughts floated as we start
to tackle the issue of global warming. A useful reference for
the university library.