Review:
It says something about the way in which climate-change science
has changed in the last 20 years that we have gone from defeating
the problem to living with it and hoping to reduce the excesses
that might occur. It's a realisation that on several fronts
we can no longer assume we have the power to control natural
events. We don't have the knowledge or the resources let alone
the political will. In this context, perhaps mitigation is the
best we can hope for.
This
is the fourth assessment report from the IPCC
groups which has gradually built up from the first
ideas in 1990 (and which itself shows how the reporting
system has evolved). There are four reports - 3 main group ones
(briefly, physical science, impacts and mitigation) and a synthesis
in addition to a range of technical and other special reports.
In so doing it has created a virtual 'industry' of reports that
make it difficult for all but specialised climate scientists
to understand. As a science and education resource it is doubtful
now if it can be bettered. along with the reports online, there
are graphics, podcasts, vidcasts and other material making it
easy to get top quality data. Making something of it is more
difficult. Since mitigation is a crucial issue it makes sense
to see how this issue has been tackled. The book is divided
into three unequal parts each aimed at a different audience.
The first part is the briefest overview and is aimed at policy
makers. It contains the key ideas and data that can be used
to understand some of the main issues. There are none of the
error notes and uncertainties that mark later areas of work.
(It is this part that is also the most use in education). The
second, slightly longer part, is referred to as the technical
summary. Here the emphasis is on taking the main reports themes
are teasing out the key points and examining inter-relationships
between areas such as climate change and development. Finally,
there's the body of the text which looks in the greatest detail
at the issues that have been raised through research and debate
in this area. This part itself is also divided into 4 sections.
The first comprises the introduction which outlines the process
and the results and a second chapter examining the cross-cutting
themes (called framing issues) which have been used to explore
the implications of climate change. Most noticeable amongst
these is the idea of sustainable development. It is recognised
that we cannot continue on the current development path and
that alternatives need to be found. Sustainability (including
issues of social equity) is a key way forward if we are to develop
without too much impact on the climate. The second part is the
single chapter three. This chapter examines some of the baseline
data that has been found and assesses its strengths and weaknesses.
This area had been criticised in previous reports and so the
aim was to see to what extend changes were needed. The third
part is made up of seven chapters each with a different theme
but each with a common agenda. The aim here is to show how a
series of concepts e.g.cost, policies, technology etc. will
impact upon different aspects of life from energy and transport
to housing and forestry. The fourth part is the most complex
containing three reviews of cross-sector effects. Chapter 11
examines a range of economic issues surrounding mitigation from
the feasibility of geo-engineering to carbon prices. Chapter
12 looks at the relationship between sustainable development
and climate mitigation. There is potential for a relationship
but the impacts might not be even; it depends of whether one
chooses primarily climate or development options. Finally, chapter
13 examines the impact of a range of policies - global and national
- on the chances of mitigation succeeding. Although this comes
last of all in the text one could argue it should be the first
because without agreement there is unlikely to be any effective
change.
This
is a dense and complex text. Along with other volumes it provides
the reader with the most authoritative, detailed account of
climate change as we currently understand it. Readers of previous
volumes will see how the system has been refined with probabilities
attached to all major statements. There is a wealth of detail
and data which would suit any debate or work. This would probably
be best for educators rather than students mainly because of
the complexity of the text. However, those who persevere with
this book and the associated material on the website will be
rewarded with a considerable amount of data and information
not easily obtainable elsewhere. A very valuable resource for
the library.