Review:
This report is by now well known (or at least quoted which may
not be the same thing!) and has been the subject of some intense
criticism. For those wanting more background the Treasury
webpage has useful information and a discussion (albeit
brief) appears in Wikipedia.
The
question remains as to the value of this text in amongst countless
others and its use in education. Despite the criticisms it does
provide us with a detailed overview of current ideas but from
an economic rather than scientific perspective. It is this that
makes the text useful. Common complaints are made that climate
science is not sufficiently economically focussed to make practical
suggestions. Given the focus of both the author
and the government
department sponsoring the work this argument fails this
time. The 27 chapters are divided into six parts. Prior to that
we have a summary of conclusions which helps the reader by providing
an overview of the key points. Part one outlines the basics
behind climate change and the methodology to be used in the
report. This first chapter on climate change is a very useful
overview and well worth reading. The other chapters focus on
the economic methodology being followed. It's here that Stern
seems to differ most with other workers because he uses a different
method of calculating future costs and returns (discount
rate) and also uses discount percentages that others might
not. Here is the central problem - the future cannot be known
and so any use of discount rate (or climate change for that
matter) is conjectural. This is what makes the climate change
debate so highly charged and difficult to assess. One point
Stern does make is that inter-generational equity should pay
a greater part in decision making. He also notes that it is
a significant ethical problem. Part two gathers current data
and uses it to assess likely changes. The first chapter here
takes a global picture and looks at possible changes for health,
water etc. Two following and complementary chapters explore
implications for developing and developed nations respectively.
Finally, there's a return to economic methodology with a detailed
critique of current modelling ideas. Part three considers only
the economics of climate change - costs and benefits. We start
with a review of emissions growth to show how changes have occurred
and might alter in the future. This is followed by a review
of how we might address these emissions and the costs associated
in dealing with it. After further examination of the economic
modelling process there's a welcome look at the opportunities
arising from climate change. This is one aspect that is not
always given air time. It points out that any business change
will mean a business opportunity for someone. Currently, the
carbon
trading market is one such example but there will be many
others and what might be useful is to see how we can use change
to our advantage. A final chapter considers suitable goals for
any climate policy. Part four looks at how we might mitigate
changes. Responses are mainly economic with chapters devoted
to taxation, carbon trading, and technology with some discussion
on how to change behaviour and preferences. What we can't mitigate
we need to adapt to and it is clear that adaptation is a key
issue in the latest climate reports. The aim is to be able to
deal with the effects (whilst still trying to reduce the severity).
There's a brief look at how adaptation might work followed by
examination of economic measures and their relative importance.
The final part acknowledges the importance of international
action and shows how it can be fostered. Starting with existing
agreements, the review continues to look at ways in which climate-friendly
action can be taken and how economic ideas can be used to spread
innovation. A final chapter provides a very brief note on the
value of international action.
This
is a very dense report with technical detail out of the reach
of most readers. It is here that the arguments are at their
most intense. So, what can the student make of the information
presented here? Most importantly, there is a wealth of data
brought together from a number of sources, attractively presented
and easy enough for the lay reader. Chapters are structured
to be read at several levels and the overview is certainly within
the grasp of students. As they progress in their studies so
they can tackle more complex work (economics students would
have most to gain here as one might think!). It is a significant
book not because of the novelty of what it says (this is largely
a re-working of existing documents as one might expect of a
review) but because of its economics heritage and the way it
puts climate change backstage arguing that its economics that
will help solve the issue. Overall a worthwhile text that should
be a library standard.