Review:
This year seems to be shaping up for a good collection of climate
change books. Each one will have to compete in a crowded market
and so needs to stand out - at the level of general education
and the public interest there's a glut of material. Here, the
approach is to go beyond the basic science to look at a range
of other features such as mitigation and politics.
We
start with a look at what might be happening and why. There
is the chance to see some of the more basic data and an overview
of why it all matters. As such it sets the scene for the rest
of the text: we get some notion of the importance of the topic.
Chapter two places global warming in a wider historical context.
Periods of warmth and cold have been seen throughout geological
history and here we see some of the key ones and the data used
to analyse them. As such it's a review of past changes with
the idea of linking what we have now to what has gone before.
Chapter three moves us right into the future. There's a brief
overview of the notoriously difficult world of climate models
- not so much to explain how they work but to show the kinds
of questions they aim to answer and how good they might be at
it. This is followed by a study of the risks we face if we do/don't
act. Thus the predictions constructed in chapter three become
the models against which we base our action in chapter four.
It's clear that there are risks but we need to know the magnitude
and likelihood. Chapter five returns to the near present to
examine the most likely changes in climate. Up to this point
the emphasis has been on demonstrating the validity of the concept
of global warming. Chapter six starts the next stage of the
book which concentrates on human responses. In this chapter
the focus is on the need to worry: which changes are most likely
and what are the impacts and associated risks? Chapter seven
considers the value of trying to live with global warming -
the cost of moving around the problem as against the cost of
tackling it head on. To this is linked chapter 8 which argues
for mitigation at least to some extent to control the problem.
Next, it's important that global warming does not take over
the entire debate. Chapter 9 looks at other issues that need
to be addressed (although many of these are at least exacerbated
by global warming!) Chapters 10 and 11 form a pair describing,
respectively, the politics of the situation and the international
work. The former sets the science amongst the competing interests
of the political arena and outlines the problems the topic needs
to be overcome to get a fair hearing. One of the problems with
this issue is that it has so many strands that it's difficult
for conventional politics to react in any meaningful way. The
latter describes Kyoto, its strengths and weaknesses. The final
two chapters provide an overview and a source of further information.
The
value of this text lies in the comprehensive way the topic is
dealt with and the place given to the uncertainties in the subject.
This is important because as much as it might be useful, the
topic does not fit neatly into any given category. The science
is complex and the results are uncertain (that's why they're
called forecasts) and this very issue makes it difficult to
be accepted. The author has laid out the case, warts and all,
to allow the reader to make up their mind. Clearly there's a
viewpoint on the case but this doesn't make the book a polemic.
As such, the quality of the case put forward and the style of
writing make it a very valuable text to show students both the
dimensions of the issue and the way it can be presented. Overall,
it makes a very valuable addition to the library shelves.